« RFID Casino Chips   |   Main   |   Searching for productivity »

Vanishing Jobs?

Leslie Haggin Geary CNN/Money staff writer gives a good summary of recent gloomy statistics and projections concerning the job market.

An August Federal Reserve study estimates that as many as 79 percent of jobs are in industries where jobs have been lost forever, a phenomenon Fed economists call “structural change.”

Another estimate by Forester Research goes into more specifics. Forrester estimates that by 2015, some 3.3 million service-sector jobs will be shipped overseas or rendered obsolete by technology. Forester analyst John McCarthy says jobs that are most at risk require fewer skills, are automated or are highly portable.
Those include computer programming and software engineer jobs, that have long been leaving the country. By 2015, 26 percent of those jobs will be gone, says McCarthy.
Clerical jobs, like accounts receivable and payable, financial research, data-entry and various administrative services also are vulnerable since their tasks are either becoming automated or can be performed by less-expensive workers somewhere else.

I’d like to note that, when generating percentages from the data that appears in the CNN/Money article, we can gain insight into Forrester’s likely methodology - the simple projection of estimated percentage losses. It appears pretty arbitrary, but at least is a starting point.

Source: CNN-Money - Vanishing Jobs